Salisbury 15:14 RESULTED
Class 2 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday British Ebf Joan Snow Memorial Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)

British Ebf Joan Snow Memorial Conditions Stakes (gbb Race) · 6f

Official Result

British Ebf Joan Snow Memorial Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner A Bear Affair (IRE) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon
    4/1
  2. 11/8F
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
A Bear Affair silks
A Bear Affair
Age 2 · 9-8
762854
92
98
93
2
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 3/1
A Bear Affair arrives fit after 21 days, having finished fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before, while our rating of 93 ranks him third of six. The risk is that he is winless in his last six starts and carries 134 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dance A Jig silks
Dance A Jig
Age 2 · 9-8
220193
96
98
96
2
9-8
★★★★☆
—
4/1 9/4 4/1
Dance A Jig booked a third last time out just 13 days ago, and he has a win three starts back, so he arrives fit and in decent heart. He has run over today's trip and on this going, with one reservation being a ninth two starts back, while his rating of 96 makes him a sound pick.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Napa silks
Napa
Age 2 · 9-8
41876
90
87
84
2
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 8/1
Napa has slipped to a sixth last time out, a seventh two starts back and an eighth three starts back, so the form is heading the wrong way, and carrying 134 lb off a mark of 90 doesn't help. On the plus side, he won four starts back, has run over today's trip and is back quickly after seven days.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Social Symbol silks
Social Symbol
Age 2 · 9-8
14433
97
106
98
2
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
11/8 FCST 5/4
Social Symbol is a leading threat, having finished third in each of his last two starts and fourth in the two before, with a win five starts back, and he returns fresh after 26 days having run over today's trip. The one concern is that he's not won in his last four outings, while carrying 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Through The Gate silks
Through The Gate
Age 2 · 9-8
1
—
67
65
2
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 10/1 9/1
Won last time out, 22 days ago, and has run over today's trip, but he's a sole recent run to go on and our figures rank him last of six, with a 65 rating and a speed figure of 61. Carrying 134 lb from stall two, he's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Super Tuscan silks
Super Tuscan
Age 2 · 9-6
415623
82
94
87
2
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 17/2 5/1
Super Tuscan arrives in good heart after a third last time out and a second the run before, fresh at 20 days since his last start and with experience of today's trip. The main risk is a hefty 132 lb, with his only win five starts back.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 A Bear Affair 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Dance A Jig 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Napa 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 8/1 Bet365
4 Social Symbol 11/8 open 2.25 5/4 11/8 11/8 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 11/8 Bet365
5 Through The Gate 10/1 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Super Tuscan 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Social Symbol

Live signal

Social Symbol owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Simon & Ed Crisford Jack Mitchell
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

A Bear Affair

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Richard Hannon
✓ Value Signal

Napa

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

8/1 · Kevin Philippart de Foy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Social Symbol
62.3 11/8
2 1. A Bear Affair
57.9 7/2
3 6. Super Tuscan
56.3 5/1
4 2. Dance A Jig
54.2 4/1
5 3. Napa
53.0 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Social Symbol
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-8
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-8
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-8
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 98 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-8
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Social Symbol
Confidence: Speculative

Social Symbol (SR:106, 5/4) is the clear class leader in this field — a full 8 points clear of the next-best runners at SR:98 — and carries 9-8 on a level weight basis with rivals while dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1). The form string 14433 shows consistent place-finding at a higher level, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over 6f. The Crisford yard runs at 19% career strike rate and Jack Mitchell brings a 16% SR from over 1,800 rides, a professional combination for a race where their runner is clearly the most able on the ratings. The only hesitation is the GoingFit:? — no established record on good-to-soft — but at SR:106 in a Class 2 conditions race with level weights, that uncertainty is manageable rather than disqualifying. Each-way alternative: A Bear Affair. Main danger: Super Tuscan — Super Tuscan has steamed dramatically (Mkt:in58%) and carries 2lb less than rivals at 9-6 — in a level-weights conditions race that 2lb edge is meaningful, and the stable money suggests connections believe the class rise (↑2) is within this horse's compass.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 14433 shows Social Symbol has not won in its last four starts — consecutive thirds and fourths suggest a horse that finds one or two too good at the finish, a worrying trend even dropping…
  • GoingFit:? is a genuine risk on good-to-soft at Salisbury in October; no evidence this horse handles cut in the ground, and 6f on a testing surface suits strong-staying types over a finisher who has…
  • Dance A Jig (SR:98, Ralph Beckett 19% SR) has drifted badly (out 79%) yet Beckett is a trainer who rarely runs without a solid chance — the big market drift on the main danger could be stable managem…
  • 26 days since last run is the longest freshen-up in the field; at Salisbury's stiff uphill finish, fitness sharpness matters, and rivals like Dance A Jig (13 days) and Napa (7 days) have a race-fit e…
Shortlist Social Symbol, A Bear Affair, Super Tuscan
Each-way: A Bear Affair Danger: Super Tuscan

🗺 The Course Class 2

6f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade