Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 3m0f60y
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Paper Mill | 2/1 open 4.33 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Law of Supply | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Alright Dai | 5/1 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 4 No More No | 6/4 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 6/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Paper Mill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No More No (SR:113, 7/4) is the standout selection in this small field. The combination of Course:W3P3 — three course wins and three places at Southwell — is an exceptional specialist record that no other runner can match, and this course strongly suits front-runners and course regulars given its unique Fibresand setup. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm the horse handles today's trip and going conditions, and a 14% market move inward (Mkt:in14%) signals confident stable/market support. Despite stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and running off a mark 2lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+2), the weight advantage of 11-2 — carrying 11lb less than both Paper Mill and Law of Supply at 11-13 — is a meaningful physical edge, and at 7/4 the price fairly reflects the horse's dominant course credentials. David Bass (15%, 502 career runners) is a strong booking for a small yard (Lawney Hill, 16%, just 43 runners), underscoring that this is the yard's intended target. Each-way alternative: Paper Mill. Main danger: Paper Mill — Paper Mill (SR:115, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has shortened 7% in the market (Mkt:in7%), and while GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground, its SR edge and market confidence make it the most credible threat to upset the selection.