Southwell 17:10 RESULTED
Class 4 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Weatherbys Nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race

Weatherbys Nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m4f88y

Official Result

Weatherbys Nhstallions.co.uk Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Spot On Soph (IRE) Rebecca Hitchen · Sam England
    5/2
  2. 2/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Crack Ops silks
Crack Ops
Age 4 · 12-0
6322-1
108
111
113
4
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/4 5/4 10/11
Crack Ops arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out, and before that a second two starts back and another second three starts back, so he has been consistently in the frame. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks him first of four, though 138 days off and 168 lb are the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Spot On Soph silks
Spot On Soph
Age 10 · 11-12
2575-1
104
101
105
10
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 2/1 10/3
Spot On Soph arrives fresh from a win last time out, 22 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, so she looks a real threat off 166 lb. The main risk is a patchy record before that, with a fifth and a seventh in her previous three outings.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Rock Hurley silks
Rock Hurley
Age 8 · 11-11
4-3102
103
104
107
8
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 9/4 7/4
Rock Hurley has a solid profile, beaten only into second last time out and a winner three starts back, with experience over today's trip and going after a fresh 23-day break. The main risk is the 165 lb he carries, and our rating of 106 makes him a leading threat.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Italian Spirit silks
Italian Spirit
Age 10 · 10-9
3542-8
87
93
106
10
10-9
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 14/1
Italian Spirit is yet to win in his last five, but a second two starts back and a third five starts back show he's consistently in the mix, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 106 makes him a leading threat; the main risk is a 131-day absence after an eighth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Crack Ops 5/4 open 2.50 11/10 open 2.25 11/10 open 2.38 11/10 open 2.38 10/11 open 2.38 11/10 open 2.38 5/4 Bet365
2 Spot On Soph 7/2 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.00 4/1 Coral
3 Rock Hurley 15/8 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 Bet365
4 Italian Spirit 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crack Ops

Live signal

Crack Ops owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Ben Smith(3)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rock Hurley

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Donald McCain
✓ Value Signal

Italian Spirit

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Harriet Dickin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Crack Ops
63.4 5/4
2 3. Rock Hurley
62.9 15/8
3 2. Spot On Soph
59.6 7/2
4 4. Italian Spirit
51.3 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Crack Ops
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 12-0
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾 —

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-11
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 10 · 11-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 10 · 10-9
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Crack Ops
Confidence: Speculative

Crack Ops (SR 111, 13/8) is the class leader in this small field and the only horse with a GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, which is a meaningful edge when every rival is only moderate (GoingFit:~). The recent form string 6322-1 shows a last-time-out win after a period of placed consistency, and at age 4 this horse is the most likely improver in the field. Yes, it steps up a class (ClassMv:↑1) and carries top weight at 12-0 off a mark 7lb higher than at that last win, and it has drifted 7% in the market — concerns worth noting — but the SR advantage of 7 points over Rock Hurley and 10 over Spot On Soph, combined with the confirmed going preference, makes it the most credible winner. The drift is the main reservation, but in a four-runner field with no standout danger, the SR and going edge outweigh it. Each-way alternative: Rock Hurley. Main danger: Rock Hurley — Rock Hurley (SR 104, 5/2) is race-fit at 23 days since last run, carries 1lb less than Crack Ops, is trained by Donald McCain who delivers at 15% and has a conditional jockey claiming 8lb — that real weight relief off 11-11 could neutralise Crack Ops's class edge entirely.

Case against 3 clamped
  • 138-day absence is a significant fitness concern — Crack Ops has not run since May and returns off a 7lb higher mark with top weight 12-0, a combination that regularly catches returning horses out.
  • Class rise (↑1) combined with a +7 mark increase means this is the stiffest task Crack Ops has faced; the last-time-out win was achieved at a lower level and may flatter today's claims.
  • Market drift of 7% in a four-runner field is a loud signal — with so few runners, connections and informed money have nowhere to hide, yet they are getting out.
Shortlist Crack Ops, Rock Hurley, Spot On Soph
Each-way: Rock Hurley Danger: Rock Hurley

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f88y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Southwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade