Nottingham 13:23 RESULTED
Class 4 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Ebf Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)

Ebf Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m5f8y

Official Result

Ebf Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Caelum (IRE) Kevin Stott · Kevin Ryan
    8/15F
  2. 10/1
  3. 2/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Caelum silks
Caelum
Age 2 · 9-7
2
—
133
—
2
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
1/2 Evs 1/2
SR 133 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 133 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Crimson Blaze silks
Crimson Blaze
Age 2 · 9-2
568643
64
62
64OR
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 5/1 7/1
SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Lady Branksome silks
Lady Branksome
Age 2 · 9-2
526
76
80
76OR
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 7/4 3/1
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Runaway Lucy silks
Runaway Lucy
Age 2 · 9-2
8
—
127
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
80/1 80/1 66/1
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Viking Barbie silks
Viking Barbie
Age 2 · 9-2
432435
69
78
69OR
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 4/1 32/17
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Caelum 1/2 open 2.50 8/15 open 2.25 8/15 open 2.00 8/15 open 2.00 1/2 open 2.10 8/15 open 2.00 8/15 Paddy Power
2 Crimson Blaze 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 8/1 William Hill
3 Lady Branksome 3/1 open 2.75 7/2 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 Paddy Power
4 Runaway Lucy 80/1 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 80/1 Bet365
5 Viking Barbie 5/2 open 5.50 15/8 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 2/1 open 5.00 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Caelum

Live signal

Caelum owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/2 Kevin Ryan Kevin Stott
88% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Branksome

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Michael Bell
✓ Value Signal

Runaway Lucy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Brian Ellison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Caelum
65.0 1/2
2 3. Lady Branksome
54.6 3/1
3 5. Viking Barbie
54.5 5/2
4 4. Runaway Lucy
50.3 80/1
5 2. Crimson Blaze
44.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Caelum
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-7
1/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 133 🐾 —

SR 133 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Caelum
Confidence: Speculative

Caelum (SR:133, evens) is the clear ability leader in this field by a significant margin — 6 SR points clear of Runaway Lucy and over 50 points clear of the rest. Despite only one run (a second place), the 12% market move inward confirms yard and market confidence, and Kevin Ryan (13% strike rate, 1,692 runners) and Kevin Stott are a reliable combination. Carrying 9-7 versus 9-2 for the field is a minor concern in a five-runner maiden, but the SR edge is too large to be offset by 5lb at this level. The unknown going and distance fit (both ?) is the key caveat — but as a 2yo maiden over a short sprint, inexperience with conditions is universal here. Each-way alternative: Runaway Lucy. Main danger: Runaway Lucy — Runaway Lucy (SR:127) is only 6 SR points behind Caelum, has been off just 15 days suggesting a quick return in good order, and at 100/1 the market has clearly discounted her — but in a five-runner maiden, a raw 2yo with a single run (8th) can improve sharply, and her SR suggests the ability is latent if the debut run was misleading.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Caelum has only one career run (a second place) with both going and distance suitability unknown — a 2yo with a single run has no proven adaptability if conditions don't suit.
  • Carrying 9-7 is a 5lb penalty versus the entire field at 9-2; in a tight five-runner sprint where margins are small, a weight disadvantage against more experienced rivals like Viking Barbie (6 runs)…
  • Lady Branksome (SR:80, 3/1) has drifted out 43% and Viking Barbie (SR:78, 7/2) has been backed in 16% — the market is actively supporting alternatives over Caelum at evens, suggesting at least two ri…
  • Runaway Lucy holds an SR of 127 at 100/1 with a jockey (Dale Swift, 8% SR) and trainer (Brian Ellison, 10% SR) combination that is weak — yet the close SR gap (133 vs 127) means if Runaway Lucy outpe…
Shortlist Caelum, Runaway Lucy, Viking Barbie
Each-way: Runaway Lucy Danger: Runaway Lucy

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m5f8y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade