Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes · 1m2f50y
SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Celestias Comet | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 | 5/1 Coral |
| 2 Crimson Road | 13/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Renesmee | 15/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Pleasant Man | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Public Enemy | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Didaar | 10/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 7 Garden Oasis | 15/2 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Betfred |
| 8 Expressionless | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 New Bay Star | 15/2 open 21.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 10 Taradif | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 11 Why Not Me | 16/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Crimson Rambler | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 13 Roman Secret | 16/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Mohaab | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Celestias Comet owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
New Bay Star (SR:69, 15/2) has steamed in 35% in the market — the strongest move in this field by some distance — which is a powerful signal that connections and informed money are confident. At 3 years old running off 9-7, it carries the joint-lightest weight among the competitive SR tier, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over Celestias Comet (SR:69, 10-0) and Garden Oasis (SR:69, 9-10). The DistFit:+ confirms genuine proven ability at this trip, and trainer Michael Appleby (13%, 1710 runners) and jockey Ray Dawson (14%, 1228 runners) both carry solid professional strike rates at scale. The form string -32060 shows recent inconsistency but the dramatic market move suggests something has clicked — possibly a surface or setup switch — and the age/weight profile gives it the physical scope to deliver here. Each-way alternative: Crimson Road. Main danger: Crimson Road — Crimson Road (SR:75, 7/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, has shortened 10% in the market, and arrives on a red-hot form string of 594111 — three consecutive wins — with a DistFit:+ confirming it handles this trip; the GoingFit:- and class rise (↑1) off a mark 5lb higher than its last win are the only credible negatives.