Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap Stakes · 0m6f18y
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 41 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 42 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Havanagreattime | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Bright | 14/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 3 Spirit of Applause | 4/1 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Ingleby Archie | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 Coral |
| 5 Royal Accord | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 Coral |
| 6 Taaklam | 18/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Tiriac | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Imelda | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Cairdeas | 13/2 open 17.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 15.00 | 13/2 open 15.00 | 6/1 open 15.00 | 6/1 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Act of Violence | 5/1 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 11 Crystal Dagger | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Perineighs | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Thunderous Love | 6/1 open 9.50 | 5/1 open 12.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Trafalger | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 15 Melissa Honey | 11/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Spirit of Applause owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Thunderous Love (SR:74, 6/1) combines the strongest course record in the field (Course:W2P5 at Nottingham — a genuine track specialist), a significant market move of +37% inward, a drop of 8lb off last win (MarkMv:-8 is a real handicapper's gift), and a consistent recent form string of 692294 showing the horse is competitive at this level. Weight of 9-4 gives a meaningful advantage over Spirit of Applause and Ingleby Archie at 9-10. The cheekpieces (HG:p) add a small edge and trainer Portman hits at 13% strike rate. The moderate distance and going figures (both ~) are a mild concern but the course expertise on a track where he has won twice overrides that. Each-way alternative: Melissa Honey. Main danger: Melissa Honey — Melissa Honey (SR:75, 6/1) has the highest SR in the field, carries the lightest weight at 9-0, shows a devastating form string of 121312 — in-and-out consistent — and has course form (W1P1); the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is the only caveat but the pound advantage over everything else could be decisive.