Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y
SR 83 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blake's Monarch | 9/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Havana Lightning | 11/4 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 2.75 | 3/1 open 2.62 | 11/4 open 2.75 | 3/1 William Hill |
| 3 Not My Type | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Kentucky Rain | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 10/3 open 7.00 | 9/2 William Hill |
| 5 Bill The Bull | 15/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Peaceful Warrior | 11/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Eleven Eighty Two | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Not My Type owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kentucky Rain leads the field on SR (92) and carries a favourable 9-6, giving it a 2lb pull on Not My Type and a 4lb edge on Blake's Monarch despite the superior ability rating. The 45% market move in from opening tells a clear story — money has been placed with conviction, and at 10/3 there is still genuine value against a market implied probability of around 23%. The form string 20144 shows a win last time out (rightmost digit) dropping two class tiers, and Class ↓2 in a nursery handicap is a meaningful advantage. DistFit:~ is the one caveat at 5f, but the class relief and market confidence override that moderate distance record. Each-way alternative: Not My Type. Main danger: Not My Type — Not My Type (SR 86, 9/2) has the second-best SR in the field, DistFit:+ at 5f confirmed, and William Haggas (23% strike rate) is a yard whose runners fresh off a 7-day turnaround are almost always primed — even accounting for the 30% drift, the class drop and course fitness make it a live threat.