Bellewstown 14:45 RESULTED
1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f195y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Duchess Of Kenli (FR) Julian Pietropaolo · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    6/1
  2. 28/1
  3. Third Tachos (IRE)
    6/1
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Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

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17:00–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 2 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Duchess Of Kenli silks
Duchess Of Kenli
Age 3 · 10-1
6-18
84
75
79
3
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 7/1 3/1
Duchess Of Kenli won two starts back and has run over today's trip, so she has a live chance from stall three, with our rating of 79 ranking her fourth of seven. The main risk is an eighth last time out and a 42-day break.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lady In Gold silks
Lady In Gold
Age 3 · 9-10
81
79
75
72
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 9/4 5/1
Lady In Gold won last time out, but that came after an eighth two starts back, and she returns from 223 days off, which is a big ask at 136 lb off a mark of 79. She has run over today's trip, but our figures rank her last of seven.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Save The Sixes silks
Save The Sixes
Age 3 · 9-9
81
78
84
78
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 32/17 2/1
Winner last time out after an eighth two starts back, Save The Sixes arrives fresh off a 44-day break and has run over today's trip. Carrying 135 lb from draw 2, she sits fifth of seven on our rating of 78, so she needs to build on that latest win to reach the places.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Excuzio Joe silks
Excuzio Joe
Age 9 · 9-7
29002/
73
58
86
9
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 22/1 11/1
Excuzio Joe showed a return to form with a second last time out, and she has a second five starts back too, while she has run over today's trip and going before. The long absence of 793 days is the one concern, but our rating of 86 puts her top of the seven, and she is yet to win in recent starts from stall 1.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

5
Star Strewn silks
Star Strewn
Age 3 · 9-6
-18971
75
78
80
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Star Strewn arrives a last-time-out winner, having also scored five starts back, and has run over today's trip, while 22 days since her last run suggests she's fresh. The main risk is consistency, as she finished seventh, ninth and eighth in between those wins.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Tachos silks
Tachos
Age 5 · 9-5
905310
71
80
79
5
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 FCST 9/2
Tachos won two starts back and was third the start before that, while she has run over today's trip and going and comes back after 19 days off; our rating of 79 puts her third of seven. The main risk is an unplaced effort last time out, and she carries 131 lb from draw four.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Aquilla Star silks
Aquilla Star
Age 3 · 9-0
-72071
69
83
74
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 10/3
Won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but the form around that is patchy, with a seventh two starts back and another seventh five back. The yard is 0/22 over the last 14 days, and our rating of 74 ranks her sixth of seven, so she is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Duchess Of Kenli 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 3/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 Paddy Power
2 Lady In Gold 11/2 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.25 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 Bet365
3 Save The Sixes 9/4 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.88 9/4 Bet365
4 Excuzio Joe 11/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 18/1 Paddy Power
5 Star Strewn 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 Paddy Power
6 Tachos 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 5/1 Bet365
7 Aquilla Star 7/2 10/3 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Save The Sixes

Speculative

Save The Sixes owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Mrs J. Harrington W. J. Lee
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Aquilla Star

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · John McConnell
✓ Value Signal

Excuzio Joe

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/1 · Matthew J Smith
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Save The Sixes
55.3 9/4
2 7. Aquilla Star
55.2 7/2
3 1. Duchess Of Kenli
52.4 4/1
4 6. Tachos
50.1 5/1
5 5. Star Strewn
49.5 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Save The Sixes
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 10-1
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-5
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-10
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 9 · 9-7
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Save The Sixes
Confidence: Speculative

Save The Sixes carries the highest SR in the field at 84, and at 9-9 holds a meaningful weight advantage over the top-weighted Duchess Of Kenli (10-1). The market has firmed 7% into 15/8, indicating professional support, and trainer Jessica Harrington (11% strike rate, 1,615 runners) alongside jockey W.J. Lee (16% strike rate, 1,883 runners) is a high-quality booking that screams confidence. The form figure of '81' is recent — last run 44 days ago — and while DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown, the horse is not proven against these conditions rather than proven poor, which is a very different thing in a limited 7-runner field of largely unexposed 3-year-olds. Each-way alternative: Star Strewn. Main danger: Tachos — Tachos (SR:80, 5/1) carries only 9-5, has a MarkMv:-1 in its favour, trainer Dermot Weld's 13% career strike rate is the best in the field among trainers with meaningful sample sizes, and the market has nudged in 5% — though the confirmed DistFit:- at this trip is the one reason it doesn't take the top spot.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lady In Gold (same stable, J.P. O'Brien) drifted 45% out but Aquilla Star (SR:83, +9 mark move, 9/2 in) and Tachos (5/1 in) are both shorter and showing stronger market support than Save The Sixes, s…
  • Form figure '81' means last two runs were a win then a defeat — with 44 days since last run and both DistFit and GoingFit unknown, the return from a break at Bellewstown in October carries meaningful…
  • Aquilla Star (SR:83) carries 9lb less at 9-0 vs 9-9, posted a recent win 23 days ago, and a +9 market move signals strong professional backing — a direct SR rival with a significant weight-for-age ad…
  • Trainer Harrington's 11% strike rate is materially below J.P. O'Brien's 16% in this field, and W.J. Lee's 16% SR, while solid, is not elite; the stable's absence of a market-confidence flag (no Stabl…
Shortlist Save The Sixes, Star Strewn, Tachos, Aquilla Star
Each-way: Star Strewn Danger: Tachos

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f195y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting