Bellewstown 15:55 RESULTED
1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Kilsaran Race

Kilsaran Race · 1m4f77y

Official Result

Kilsaran Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Magnum Cor (IRE) J M Sheridan · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    10/11F
  2. 13/8
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

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13:00–17:05 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Narlita silks
Narlita
Age 7 · 9-11
640507
81
78
87
7
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 20/1 6/1
Narlita has run over today's trip and going before, and she comes back quickly after just three days, while our rating of 87 ranks her second of five, so she's a leading threat off an official mark of 81 and 137 lb. The main risk is a winless recent sequence, with a seventh last time out.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Abbotsford silks
Abbotsford
Age 3 · 9-10
8-217
96
105
96
3
9-10
★★★★☆
—
5/4
Abbotsford is our top-rated runner, having won two starts back and finished second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. A seventh last time out and 42 days off are the only concerns, while 136 lb is a fair burden off 96.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Count Bezukhov silks
Count Bezukhov
Age 3 · 9-10
3131
91
104
85
3
9-10
★★★★☆
—
2/1 32/17 7/4
Count Bezukhov arrives in fine heart, a winner last time out and again three starts back, with a third two starts back, and he's fresh from a nine-day turnaround having run over today's trip. The risk is 136 lb on an official mark of 91, with our rating placing him third of five.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Dream Legend silks
Dream Legend
Age 3 · 9-10
013105
66
50
66
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 80/1 66/1
Dream Legend was only fifth last time out and unplaced the run before, so the recent trend is down, and he is back after just one day's rest under 136 lb. On the plus side, he has won twice in his last six, including a win three starts back, and has run on today's going.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Magnum Cor silks
Magnum Cor
Age 3 · 9-10
41
95
93
74
3
9-10
★★★★☆
—
10/11 3/2 10/11
Magnum Cor won last time out after a fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip, so he arrives in good heart under 136 lb. The risk is a 44-day absence, plus our rating of 74 only ranks him fourth of five.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Narlita 13/2 open 26.00 6/1 open 21.00 13/2 open 26.00 13/2 open 26.00 13/2 open 26.00 13/2 open 26.00 13/2 Bet365
2 Abbotsford 5/4 5/4 open 2.38 11/8 open 2.63 11/8 open 2.63 11/8 open 2.63 11/8 open 2.63 11/8 Coral
3 Count Bezukhov 2/1 open 3.25 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 15/8 7/4 open 2.88 2/1 Bet365
4 Dream Legend 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 Bet365
5 Magnum Cor 10/11 open 3.00 10/11 open 3.00 evn open 2.50 evn open 2.50 evn open 2.50 evn open 2.50 evn Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Abbotsford

Live signal

Abbotsford owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 D K Weld W. J. Lee
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Magnum Cor

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/11 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Dream Legend

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · E D Delany
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Abbotsford
62.1 5/4
2 5. Magnum Cor
60.2 10/11
3 3. Count Bezukhov
59.2 2/1
4 1. Narlita
48.1 13/2
5 4. Dream Legend
35.1 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Count Bezukhov
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-10
10/11
★★★★☆ SR 93 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-10
5/4
★★★★☆ SR 105 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 3 · 9-10
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 104 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 7 · 9-11
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Count Bezukhov
Confidence: Speculative

Count Bezukhov (SR 104, 2/1) carries the most compelling recent form in this field with a 3-1-3-1 sequence — two wins in his last four runs — and arrives fresh off a run just 9 days ago suggesting peak fitness. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16%, 3186 runners), a yard that fires regularly, and with Declan McDonogh in the saddle he is clearly the stable's second string behind Magnum Cor on paper, but the form figures are significantly more battle-tested than Magnum Cor's two-run 4-1 record. While Magnum Cor is the market leader, it has drifted 8% from opening, and Count Bezukhov's recent wins at a mark 4lb higher than his last victory suggest the handicapper has not fully caught him. The SR of 104 leads the field and the consistent form line on good ground makes him the most reliable proposition. Each-way alternative: Abbotsford. Main danger: Magnum Cor — Magnum Cor (SR 93, 7/4) is the market favourite from the powerful O'Brien yard with a clean 4-1 record and the booking of J M Sheridan (10%), and while it has drifted 8%, its unbeaten-when-completing form means a step forward at this distance trip could make it very hard to beat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Abbotsford (SR 105) holds a higher speed rating and is trained by D K Weld with W J Lee aboard — a powerful combination — suggesting Count Bezukhov may not even be the best horse on ratings in this f…
  • Running just 9 days after his last start is a double-edged sword: if that race took more out of him than it appears, a quick turnaround at Bellewstown's testing track could see him flat today.
  • The 'HG:t' flag (going — turf/soft variant) against Count Bezukhov raises a specific going suitability doubt, while the analyst's claim of 'consistent form on good ground' may not apply if the ground…
  • Mark has moved up +4lb following recent wins, meaning Count Bezukhov runs off a higher handicap mark than when last successful — the handicapper has responded and he must now prove he can win from th…
Shortlist Count Bezukhov, Abbotsford, Magnum Cor
Each-way: Abbotsford Danger: Magnum Cor

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f77y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Bellewstown Track and setting