Pulled up last time out and winless in his last five, Drumconnor Hill has little recent form to lean on, though he has run on today's going and returns after 24 days. Carrying 163 lb off an official mark of 95, he looks a midfield sort at best.
Form last 6-8470P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR96RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Duke Otto has run on today's going and returns just 15 days after being pulled up, with a fourth three starts back his best recent finish; our ratings put him top of the 16 on 103 against an official 98. The risk is obvious: he's yet to win in his last five and carries 166 lb.
Form last 68P40-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR103RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Ray Gun is winless in his last five, with a ninth last time out and a sixth two starts back, and he has been pulled up twice before that. He has run on today's going and is off 151 lb from a mark of 85, but our rating of 88 leaves him 13th of 16.
Form last 6P-P969
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR88RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Calzaghi is ranked third of 16 by our rating of 98 and has run on today's going before, while carrying a hefty 168 lb off an official mark of 100 is a big ask. The main risk is a poor run of form, with a ninth last time out and a 59-day layoff.
Form last 69809
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR98RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Fit enough after 24 days off, Paul Collins has run over today's trip and on this going, and he signed off with a third four starts back. He's yet to win in his last five, but our figures rank him second of 16, and his official mark of 100 looks fair.
Form last 6-P3067
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR103RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Private Policy won two starts back and was fifth last time, but he returns after 114 days off and carries 166 lb, which tempers the appeal. He has run over today's trip and going, though our rating of 96 puts him only fifth of 16.
Form last 6404-15
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR96RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ballyhahill is winless in her last four, finishing fifth last time out after a 54-day break, with a fourth four starts back her best recent effort, and a yard going cold (2/38) doesn't help. She has run on today's going and our 82 ranks her 15th of 16, so it is hard to fancy.
Form last 647-05
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR82RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sharetheknowledge arrives fresh after 34 days off, having finished fourth last time out and a fourth again four starts back, and he has run on today's going before. Our rating of 96 sits above his official 91, but he is yet to win in his last five and carries 159 lb.
Form last 6P44-04
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR96RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Maxicourt is yet to win in his last six starts, though thirds two and five runs back show he can get involved, and he has run on today's going before. Last time's eighth and a hefty 157 lb hold him back, despite a quick 12-day turnaround.
Form last 6P37538
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR91RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lummi Island was fourth last time out and is yet to win in his last five, with a fifth two starts back, but he returns after 348 days off and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 156 lb off 88, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 90 offering slight encouragement.
Form last 648554-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR90RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Poetic Focus showed her best when second two starts back, but she was unplaced last time and is yet to win in her last five outings. She has run over today's trip and going, is fresh enough after 24 days, and our rating of 90 sits above her official 87, though 155 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6-75020
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR90RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Runner-up last time out after a fall and a couple of unplaced runs, Technology has experience of today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last five and his yard is 0/22 over the past fortnight, while 152 lb is a stiff burden. Our rating of 88 sits above his official 84, yet that only ranks him 12th of 16.
Form last 690-F02
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR88RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five and unplaced last time, Vroomvroomboo returns after 72 days off, which raises fitness questions, though she has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 92 sits above her official 83, despite 151 lb to carry.
Form last 6050-80
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR92RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Tedworth is hard to fancy after being pulled up last time out, and he is winless in his last five, with a fourth two starts back his best recent effort. He has run over today's trip and going before, but 149 lb is a hefty burden and our rating ranks him 14th of 16.
Form last 6-4U74P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR85RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Kared'as de Cougny was a third two starts back but fell last time out, and he returns after 137 days off with a yard 0 from 22 lately. Our rating of 92 sits well above his official 78, though 146 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 66653-F
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR93RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Volez Vous is winless in her last five, with back-to-back ninth-placed efforts most recently and a pulled up four starts back, so she is hard to fancy after 79 days off. She has run on today's going and our rating ranks her 16th of 16, though 146 lb is the bigger concern.
Form last 60P0-99
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR79RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Bangor Lady is winless in her last five, with back-to-back eighth-place finishes and a fall five starts back, and she returns after 69 days off carrying 142 lb off an official 74. The one positive is that she has run on today's going before, but our figures still leave her hard to fancy.
Form last 6F-0088
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR67RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Finnicky Filly is winless in her last six, finishing fifth last time out and no better than fifth in that spell, and she returns after 69 days off. She has run on today's going and our rating is a touch above her official 74, but that is thin comfort.
Form last 6656505
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR77RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
El Arco is hard to fancy, winless in his last five and beaten into eighth last time, with a fifth three starts back his best recent finish, while the yard is out of form at 2/38. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 24 days, which is about all that's in his favour.
Form last 6795-08
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR78RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Private Policy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Nigel Thomas SlevinPaddy Cleary(7)
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Technology
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · John McConnell✓ Value Signal
Kared'as de Cougny
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · John McConnell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Private Policy tops the field on SR (86) and carries a workable 11-12, giving meaningful ability advantage over the next-best cluster (SR 78-80) without a crushing weight burden. The form string 404-15 shows a win last time out — the rightmost digit confirming a recent victory — and at 114 days off that run, connections have given the horse time to consolidate. The 11/2 price with only a 5% drift is not a notable concern; the market appears to respect the class edge. The three-star AI probability rating stands above most rivals, and trainer Nigel Thomas Slevin, though a modest 7% striker, is sending this horse out in peak condition off a winning run.
Each-way alternative: Paul Collins.
Main danger: Sharetheknowledge — Sharetheknowledge (SR 80, 7/1) carries only 11-5 — 7lb less than Private Policy — has two course places at Clonmel, and jockey Sean Flanagan's 10% career strike rate brings meaningful experience, though the drifting market (out 10%) and trainer's 0% strike rate from 31 runners are real concerns that temper the threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
114-day absence is a significant layoff for an 8-year-old; the winning run at the rightmost form digit was 'last time out' but that race is now nearly 4 months ago, raising fitness doubts on return.
Jockey Paddy Cleary (7lb claimer, 5% strike rate from 104 rides) is notably weak — a 7lb claimer on the top-rated horse in a 17-runner field is a meaningful handicap.
Technology (SR:79, 5/1) is shorter in the market and represents the stable's chosen runner (Stable:1 flag on rival El Arco in same yard suggests Elliott runners not a factor, but Technology's market…
Form string 404-15 shows the horse finished 4th and 0th (last/unplaced) in two runs before the break-dash gap, indicating inconsistency; the solitary win may flatter a horse that has struggled to rep…
ShortlistPrivate Policy, Sharetheknowledge, Paul Collins, Technology