Nottingham 14:33 RESULTED
Class 6 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Watch Racing TV Handicap Stakes

Watch Racing TV Handicap Stakes · 2m1f208y

Official Result

Watch Racing TV Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Corsican Caper (IRE) Sean Dylan Bowen · Kevin & Lauren Frost
    7/2
  2. 9/1
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Noble Grace silks
Noble Grace
Age 5 · 10-0
474137
59
59
63
5
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 11/2 3/1
Noble Grace is our pick on profile: a winner three starts back and a third two runs ago, she returns fresh enough after 18 days and has run on today's going before. A seventh last time out is the one blemish, though our rating of 63 sits well above her official 59.
AI verdict

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Urban Warrior silks
Urban Warrior
Age 4 · 9-12
443315
57
58
60
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
5/4 2/1 5/4
Urban Warrior won two starts back and has been in the first four in five of his last six, while he has run on today's going before and returns after 27 days off. Last time's fifth is the one blemish, and our rating of 60 ranks him third of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Damzon silks
Damzon
Age 7 · 9-7
5-1435
52
38
56
7
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 14/1
Damzon has been consistent, with a third two starts back and a win four starts back, but she returns after 217 days off and was only fifth last time out. Carrying 133 lb off an official mark of 52, she looks a midfield type, and our rating of 56 ranks her sixth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Regally Blonde silks
Regally Blonde
Age 7 · 9-6
634514
51
40
55
7
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
15/2 9/1 6/1
Regally Blonde showed she can win when successful two starts back, and she was fourth last time out after 30 days off, having also run over today's trip and going. Carrying 132 lb off an official 51 and only sitting seventh of 12 on our rating (55), she looks more of a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Pacific Storm silks
Pacific Storm
Age 3 · 9-5
575
59
48
50
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 10/3 5/1
Pacific Storm is winless in his last three, finishing fifth last time out, then a seventh two starts back and a fifth three starts back, and he returns after 35 days off. He has run on today's going and our rating ranks him ninth of 12, so he is hard to fancy carrying 131 lb off 59.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Al's River silks
Al's River
Age 3 · 9-2
-64835
56
51
65
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 10/1 17/2
Al's River is a leading threat, having been fifth last time out, 13 days ago, and third two starts back, with our rating of 65 ranking him top of the 12 and his 56 official mark looking workable off 128 lb. He is yet to win in his last five starts, which is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Assured silks
Assured
Age 5 · 9-2
7-6055
47
27
56
5
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 66/1 25/1
Assured arrives off a 51-day break after back-to-back fifth-place finishes, and she has run over today's trip and going before. She is yet to win in her last five starts and carries 128 lb from an official mark of 47, though our rating of 56 ranks her fifth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Corsican Caper silks
Corsican Caper
Age 6 · 9-2
69-435
47
56
55
6
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 9/2 5/2
Corsican Caper is yet to win in his last five, but a fifth last time out and a third two starts back show he's competitive, and he's fresh enough after 20 days. He has run over today's trip and going, though carrying 128 lb off a mark of 47 leaves him plenty to do.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Sir Griflet silks
Sir Griflet
Age 3 · 9-0
004336
54
57
56
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 3/1 4/1
Sir Griflet is sharp on fitness after a run nine days ago, and he posted back-to-back thirds two and three starts back, while he has run on today's going before and our rating of 56 ranks him fourth of twelve. The main risk is that he is yet to win in his last six starts and was only sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Stopherandgo silks
Stopherandgo
Age 9 · 9-0
07469
34
10
38
9
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 100/1 80/1
Stopherandgo is winless in her last five, with a fourth three starts back her best finish and a ninth last time out, so she is hard to fancy. She is quick back after nine days and has run on today's going, but rates last of twelve on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 10 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.

11
Lady Lauren silks
Lady Lauren
Age 3 · 8-5
50658V
42
20
44
3
8-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 40/1 80/1
Lady Lauren is winless in her last six, with an eighth two starts back and a fifth three starts back, and her latest run was void. She has run on today's going and is fit after 19 days, but a rating of 44 ranks her tenth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

12
N'Ion silks
N'Ion
Age 3 · 8-5
60860V
38
17
38
3
8-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 50/1
N'Ion is winless in his last six, with a sixth, an eighth and another sixth among his recent finishes, and he's hard to fancy off an official mark of 38 while ranked 11 of 12 on our figures. A fresh-ish 19 days since his last run, which was void, is about the only plus.
AI verdict

SR 17 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Noble Grace 10/3 open 7.50 3/1 open 6.50 10/3 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 7/2 William Hill
2 Urban Warrior 5/4 open 4.33 6/4 open 3.75 6/4 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.00 6/4 Paddy Power
3 Damzon 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Paddy Power
4 Regally Blonde 15/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Pacific Storm 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Coral
6 Al's River 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Assured 40/1 open 67.00 25/1 open 67.00 28/1 open 81.00 28/1 open 81.00 28/1 open 81.00 28/1 open 81.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Corsican Caper 7/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 5/2 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365
9 Sir Griflet 9/2 9/2 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 Bet365
10 Stopherandgo 100/1 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 100/1 Bet365
11 Lady Lauren 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
12 N'Ion 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Urban Warrior

Speculative

Urban Warrior owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 Stuart Williams Marco Ghiani
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Noble Grace

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Warren Greatrex
✓ Value Signal

Lady Lauren

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Ed de Giles
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Urban Warrior
49.2 5/4
2 1. Noble Grace
49.0 10/3
3 8. Corsican Caper
48.6 7/2
4 9. Sir Griflet
47.3 9/2
5 5. Pacific Storm
44.8 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Noble Grace
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-12
5/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 6 · 9-2
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-6
15/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾 —

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Age 3 · 9-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 9-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾 —

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Noble Grace
Confidence: Speculative

Noble Grace (SR:59, 4/1, Wgt:10-0) is the SR leader in a weak Class 6 field and has steamed in 36% in the market — the most significant market move in the race by a considerable margin. Warren Greatrex's 14% strike rate and Rob Hornby's 12% aboard give competent connections, and the drop of four class tiers from the horse's most recent run suggests this is a deliberately targeted assignment. The form string 474137 shows a recent '7' but the class drop and market confidence suggest that run is being overlooked by connections who know better. GoingFit:~ is mild concern but not disqualifying on good ground at this level, and a 36% market move is too loud a signal to ignore in a race where the SR advantage is also with this horse. Each-way alternative: Sir Griflet. Main danger: Urban Warrior — Urban Warrior (SR:58, 11/4) is the second-highest SR in the field and sits 2lb lighter than Noble Grace at 9-12, carrying a ClassMv:↓1 into a race where it is likely the yard's intended winner — though the 12% market drift and GoingFit:- are genuine negatives that prevent it being the primary pick.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Noble Grace's most recent run was a '7' (last place finish) just 18 days ago — a very poor effort that class drop alone may not fully explain, and could signal a physical or form issue yet to resolve.
  • GoingFit:~ indicates Noble Grace has no confirmed suitability for today's going — on good Nottingham ground in October this is a tangible unknown, not a minor footnote.
  • Urban Warrior (SR:58, 11/4 market leader) has a higher-strike-rate jockey in Ghiani (16%) and is drifting, suggesting market money is splitting rather than consolidating behind Noble Grace as a banke…
  • The 36% market move looks significant but Noble Grace is still only 4/1 in a 12-runner Class 6 field — if connections were truly confident in a straightforward win off a four-class drop, a shorter pr…
Shortlist Noble Grace, Sir Griflet, Urban Warrior, Al's River
Each-way: Sir Griflet Danger: Urban Warrior

🗺 The Course Class 6

2m1f208y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade