Bluegrass Horse Feed Handicap · 7f195y
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 15/2.
SR 48 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 45 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nephin Mountain | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Glasarmi | 13/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 3 Big Bill | 7/2 open 12.00 | 7/2 open 10.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Matties Point | 10/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Glen Breeze | 15/2 open 5.00 | 7/1 open 4.00 | 15/2 open 4.50 | 15/2 open 4.50 | 15/2 open 4.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Spiritofthedawn | 10/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Stonyfalls | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Thumama Sands | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Arizona Star | 10/3 open 9.00 | 3/1 open 9.00 | 3/1 open 9.50 | 3/1 open 9.50 | 3/1 open 9.50 | 3/1 open 9.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nephin Mountain owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 45 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 15/2.
SR 46 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Big Bill (SR:55, 7/2) carries the most compelling signal combination in this field: a 37% market move inward is exceptional and suggests connections have strong confidence on first-time headgear (cheekpieces). At 9-12 he sits just 2lb below top-weight Nephin Mountain (SR:62) yet holds a 7-point SR gap on most rivals below. His DistFit:? and GoingFit:? mean absence of negative evidence on trip and ground rather than proven weakness, unlike the majority of this field who carry explicit DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags. Trainer Aidan Melia hits at 14% (the strongest yard strike rate in the race) and Reese Holohan at 11% is a competent apprentice booking consistent with a horse fancied to go close. Each-way alternative: Nephin Mountain. Main danger: Nephin Mountain — Nephin Mountain holds the field's highest SR at 62 and is the Mulvany yard's nominated number one runner (Stable:1 with the senior jockey booking in Carroll), but the 20% drift, a GoingFit:- flag, and a MarkMv:+5 running off a career-high mark are genuine concerns that limit confidence despite the raw ability advantage.