Salisbury 15:49 RESULTED
Class 4 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap Stakes

Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap Stakes · 6f

Official Result

Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Regional Rock (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett
    9/2F
  2. 20/1
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Regional Rock silks
Regional Rock
Age 3 · 9-10
12-234
84
89
85
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 5/1 9/2
Regional Rock has been consistent, finishing fourth last time out, with a third, two seconds and a win before that, and he has run over today's trip. A 50-day break and 136 lb from stall 11 temper the appeal, while our rating of 85 ranks him seventh of 14.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Under The Twilight silks
Under The Twilight
Age 8 · 9-9
441218
82
74
89
8
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 11/1 25/1
Two wins in her last six, including a victory two starts back and another four starts back, make Under The Twilight a strong threat, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is an eighth last time out, and she returns after 33 days off carrying 135 lb from draw 10.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cindy Lou Who silks
Cindy Lou Who
Age 4 · 9-9
995005
82
65
94
4
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 16/1 12/1
Cindy Lou Who is yet to win in her last six, but she has run over today's trip and going before and returns fresh after 28 days, with a fifth last time out. Our top-rated runner at 94 on an official 82, she is a leading threat, though the risk is that her form figures offer little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

4
Brosay silks
Brosay
Age 4 · 9-9
609922
82
92
89
4
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 11/4 10/3
Brosay comes here in good heart, runner-up last time out and again two starts back, and he's fresh back after just eight days. He has run over today's trip and going before, and while still winless in his last six, he's our pick on overall profile.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
River Spey silks
River Spey
Age 3 · 9-9
-61079
83
73
90
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 14/1
River Spey won four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 90 ranks him second of 14 and makes him a leading threat from stall 1. The risk is a poor recent run, with a ninth last time out and a seventh before that, after 47 days off.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Fleetwater silks
Fleetwater
Age 4 · 9-8
391870
81
79
83
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 FCST 10/1
Fleetwater is a filly with one win in her last six, a victor four starts back, but she has since slipped to a seventh two starts back and was unplaced last time, 13 days ago. She has run over today's trip and going, yet 134 lb from stall 12 looks a stiff ask, and our rating of 83 only ranks her eighth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Supreme King silks
Supreme King
Age 6 · 9-7
715633
80
79
86
6
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 9/1 8/1
Back-to-back thirds and only 12 days since his last run suggest he's in decent shape, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he's won once in his last six and his yard is cold at 1/20. Our rating of 86 ranks him sixth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort from stall 9.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Jellystone Park silks
Jellystone Park
Age 3 · 9-6
421
80
81
81
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 9/2 17/2
Jellystone Park won last time out and was second two starts back, so the form is bright, but a 115-day break raises fitness questions, and he has run over today's trip before. Carrying 132 lb from stall four, he's ranked tenth of fourteen on our rating of 81.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
George Wickham silks
George Wickham
Age 3 · 9-6
7-21
80
67
64
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 13/2 11/1
George Wickham won last time out and was second the run before, so the form looks decent, but 79 days off is a worry and he has run over today's trip before. Carrying 132 lb off an official 80 from draw 14, he is rated bottom of the 14 on our figures at 64.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Golden Brown silks
Golden Brown
Age 3 · 9-5
218637
79
79
86
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1
Golden Brown was seventh last time out but was third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, with just 12 days since his last outing keeping him fresh. Our rating of 86 is better than his official 79, though 131 lb and one win in his last six starts temper the case.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Kohana Nation silks
Kohana Nation
Age 3 · 9-4
72-133
78
76
77
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/1 12/1
Kohana Nation has been thereabouts lately, third last time out and another third two starts back, plus a winner three starts back, and he is fresh from a 12-day turnaround. However, he carries 130 lb from draw 5, has only run over today's trip rather than shown anything there, and our rating of 77 ranks him 12th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Lyra Lea silks
Lyra Lea
Age 3 · 9-3
221634
77
84
82
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 12/1 17/2
Lyra Lea was fourth last time out, after a third two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going, while 20 days off is no concern. Carrying 129 lb from stall 7, she has only one win in her last six, and our rating of 82 ranks her ninth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Safari Dream silks
Safari Dream
Age 6 · 9-3
753115
76
66
76
6
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 22/1
Safari Dream won two starts back and three starts back, but he was only fifth last time out, and our figures rank him 13th of 14. He has run over today's trip and going, and 20 days since his last run is fine, though 129 lb from stall 13 looks a lot to ask.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Mythical Composer silks
Mythical Composer
Age 4 · 9-2
1-4000
75
73
80
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 16/1
Mythical Composer has been unplaced in his last three runs since a fourth four starts back and a win five starts back, which makes him hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 27 days off. Our rating of 80 ranks him 11th of 14, while he carries 128 lb from stall 2.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Regional Rock 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
2 Under The Twilight 25/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Paddy Power
3 Cindy Lou Who 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Brosay 10/3 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 Bet365
5 River Spey 16/1 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Fleetwater 12/1 open 19.00 10/1 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Supreme King 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
8 Jellystone Park 17/2 open 5.50 11/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 Paddy Power
9 George Wickham 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Paddy Power
10 Golden Brown 9/1 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
11 Kohana Nation 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
12 Lyra Lea 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
13 Safari Dream 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
14 Mythical Composer 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Brosay

Speculative

Brosay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Charlie Pike Nicola Currie
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Regional Rock

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Under The Twilight

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Michael Blake
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Brosay
57.6 10/3
2 1. Regional Rock
53.0 5/1
3 8. Jellystone Park
50.6 17/2
4 7. Supreme King
50.1 17/2
5 12. Lyra Lea
47.6 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Regional Rock
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 9-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-5
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-3
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Regional Rock
Confidence: Speculative

Regional Rock (SR:89, 11/2) is the clear SR leader in this field, carrying 9-10 after dropping a class tier, and the market has shortened 12% — smart money aligning with the form case. A recent form line of 12-234 shows consistent placed form and the horse is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+). Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate, 1,689 runners) is a high-calibre handler and Hector Crouch (18%) is a capable booking — connections quality is well above field average. The one caveat is GoingFit:? on today's good-to-soft, but the class drop, SR advantage, and market support override that uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Lyra Lea. Main danger: Brosay — Brosay (SR:92, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field, has a mark that has dropped 9lb since his last win (MarkMv:-9), and the market has shortened 8% — if the poor DistFit:- at 6f and unproven GoingFit:? don't catch up with him, his superior SR and significant handicap relief make him the likeliest winner.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Brosay holds a higher SR (92 vs 89) and is significantly shorter at 3/1 with an 8% market move in — the market clearly favours a rival over Regional Rock despite the class drop narrative.
  • GoingFit:? on good-to-soft is a genuine unknown; Regional Rock's form line 12-234 shows a deteriorating trajectory (last three runs all outside the top 2), and softer conditions may be the cause.
  • 50 days since last run is a notable gap with no indication of prep work — freshness can cut both ways, and a 50-day absence into a competitive handicap at Salisbury is a risk factor.
  • Lyra Lea (SR:84, Mkt:in29%) and Fleetwater (Mkt:in19%) are both attracting stronger percentage market moves inward than Regional Rock's 12%, suggesting market intelligence is flowing elsewhere in the…
Shortlist Regional Rock, Brosay, Lyra Lea, Fleetwater
Each-way: Lyra Lea Danger: Brosay

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade