Clonmel 16:42 RESULTED
1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Clonmel Novice Handicap Hurdle

Clonmel Novice Handicap Hurdle · 2m6f170y

Official Result

Clonmel Novice Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hopeful Hero (IRE) Donagh Meyler · T Hogan
    7/2
  2. Second Kashchei (GB)
    9/4F
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kashchei silks
Kashchei
Age 6 · 11-12
3-1P21
119
110
116
6
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 5/2 11/4
Kashchei arrives a leading danger, having won last time out just 13 days ago and finished second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is the 166 lb burden, plus a pulled up three starts back.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Hopeful Hero silks
Hopeful Hero
Age 5 · 11-6
310324
113
107
116
5
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 7/2
Hopeful Hero arrives fit after just 12 days, having been second two starts back and third three starts back before a fourth last time, and he has run on today's going before. The risk is a big weight of 160 lb, with our rating of 116 still making him a leading threat.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Louiescall silks
Louiescall
Age 5 · 11-6
2928-1
113
111
121
5
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
7/2
Louiescall arrives fresh from a win last time out just ten days ago, and he has a second and another runner-up finish in the last five, plus experience on today's going. Our top-rated runner is the one to beat, though 160 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
St Lawrence's Well silks
St Lawrence's Well
Age 6 · 11-6
25F5-9
113
101
119
6
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 32/17 9/4
St Lawrence's Well showed his hand with a second five starts back and a fifth two runs ago, while our rating of 119 ranks him second of six and he has run on today's going before. The main risk is a 108-day absence after a ninth last time out, and he carries 160 lb.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Le Questionnaire silks
Le Questionnaire
Age 5 · 10-10
02-266
103
77
116
5
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 16/1 25/1
Sixth in each of his last two starts after a pair of seconds before that, he is yet to win in recent form, and a 69-day break plus a yard going 2/38 make him hard to fancy. He has run on today's going and our figures rank him fifth of six.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Star Cave silks
Star Cave
Age 6 · 10-0
22-492
93
94
96
6
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 15/2
Star Cave is winless in her last five, though she was second last time out and has been runner-up twice more, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 140 lb after 34 days off, she looks hard to fancy, with our figures ranking her last of six.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kashchei 3/1 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 Bet365
2 Hopeful Hero 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Louiescall 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 Bet365
4 St Lawrence's Well 9/4 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 5/2 Paddy Power
5 Le Questionnaire 25/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 Paddy Power
6 Star Cave 17/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kashchei

Live signal

Kashchei owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Cian Collins Alan O'Sullivan(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

St Lawrence's Well

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Declan Queally
✓ Value Signal

Le Questionnaire

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Gordon Elliott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Kashchei
62.0 3/1
2 4. St Lawrence's Well
61.6 9/4
3 3. Louiescall
61.2 7/2
4 2. Hopeful Hero
58.1 4/1
5 6. Star Cave
52.4 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hopeful Hero
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 11-6
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 11-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 111 🐾 —

SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 10-0
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hopeful Hero
Confidence: Speculative

Hopeful Hero (SR 107, 4/1, 11-6) is the standout on market signals — a 24% market move inward is a powerful endorsement in a six-runner novice handicap at this level, and jockey Donagh Meyler's broad book of rides (11% strike rate across 1,046 runners) adds confidence. GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground, and the 11-6 weight is identical to Louiescall while conceding 6lb to the drifting top-weight Kashchei. The form string 310324 shows consistent engagement without dominating, but a trainer operating at 4% makes the market support the primary catalyst — the money is leading this selection. Kashchei's 25% drift from the morning price and a MarkMv:+7 burden on top-weight 11-12 make the favourite very beatable, tilting value firmly toward Hopeful Hero. Each-way alternative: Louiescall. Main danger: Louiescall — Louiescall (SR 111, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, holds a last-run winning form figure (Form:2928-1), and carries the same weight as Hopeful Hero — if the going suits better than the GoingFit:~ suggests, the class edge could be decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer T Hogan runs at just 4% strike rate from 55 runners — well below field average; Declan Queally (18%) and Gordon Elliott (18%) dwarf this, undermining confidence that the yard can deliver on m…
  • MarkMv:+9 is the highest mark movement in the field, meaning Hopeful Hero has been reassessed upward by the handicapper more aggressively than rivals — he is racing off a career-high or near-career-h…
  • Form string 310324 shows no win in last five starts and a declining sequence (3-2-4 in recent outings); Louiescall's form 2928-1 ends in a win, suggesting a rival arrives in sharper form.
  • HG:h (hurdles) versus today's flat/chase track at Clonmel — course-going suitability flag is less clean than rivals, and the 24% market move may reflect syndicate/connections money rather than inform…
Shortlist Hopeful Hero, Louiescall, Kashchei
Each-way: Louiescall Danger: Louiescall

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f170y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Clonmel Track and setting