Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m7f50y
SR 68 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Missouri Waltz | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Diplomata | 11/8 open 2.63 | 5/4 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 6/4 Betfred |
| 3 Motown Filly | 9/2 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 5/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Necromancer | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 One Shot Kodi | 6/1 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Bai Tong | 18/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Global Success | 20/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sara's Silver Girl | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Texting | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Diplomata owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Diplomata (SR 82, 5/4) is the clear class leader in this field — an SR of 82 is materially superior to the next-best One Shot Kodi (SR 74) and Motown Filly (SR 75). The William Haggas/Tom Marquand combination carries a 23%/16% strike rate respectively, representing elite handler credentials for a Class 4 nursery at Ayr. The form string 4531 shows progressive improvement culminating in a last-time-out win, and proven distance aptitude (DistFit:+) at this 7f50y trip is a concrete edge in a field where every other runner shows DistFit:? The MarkMv:+10 and ClassMv:↑1 are genuine concerns — stepping up in class off a 10lb higher mark after winning is a standard nursery penalty — but the SR advantage over the opposition is wide enough to absorb both, and Marquand's experience makes the most of the weight (9-5). Each-way alternative: One Shot Kodi. Main danger: One Shot Kodi — One Shot Kodi (SR 74, 5/1) carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 8-11, is stepping up in class having shown a progressive form line 8742 with a close second last time, and at 5/1 has been held in the market by punters without drifting — soft ground may also help a horse that hasn't been able to win on quicker surfaces.