Newbury 17:17 18 Sep 2026

Class 4 18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Fitzdares Handicap Stakes (Div I) (gbbplus Race)

Fitzdares Handicap Stakes (Div I) (gbbplus Race) · 1m2f0y

off in —

Voting open

30 declared
0 picked

AI rates Interstate Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 3 hours ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR/OR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Law Court

Age 3 · 9-10

212926

TBA

Richard Hannon 12%

86OR

9-10

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

League of Justice

Age 3 · 8-13

643

TBA

Gemma Tutty 11%

75OR

8-13

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Livemore

Age 3 · 9-2

516

Ray Dawson 14%

T. J. Kent 17%

78OR

9-2

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Loz Vegas

Age 3 · 9-7

8-6540

Rossa Ryan 18%

Peter Chapple-Hyam 14%

83OR

9-7

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Lucky Luna

Age 3 · 8-12

46162

TBA

Richard Hannon 12%

74OR

8-12

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Military Air

Age 4 · 9-6

0-6058

TBA

Michael Blake 13%

77OR

9-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Mohaaraj

Age 3 · 9-10

4-115

Finley Marsh 14%

Richard Hughes 15%

86OR

9-10

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Mythical Bird

Age 4 · 9-6

300315

TBA

Hughie Morrison 12%

77OR

9-6

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

On The Inlet

Age 3 · 9-0

105330

TBA

Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 11%

76OR

9-0

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Parlando

Age 7 · 10-1

368814

TBA

Ian Williams 11%

86OR

10-1

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Perfect Scoundrel

Age 4 · 9-6

863214

Robert Havlin 15%

Amanda Perrett 9%

77OR

9-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Raintown

Age 6 · 8-10

423123

David Probert 14%

J. S. Moore 7%

67OR

8-10

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

River Card

Age 3 · 9-10

210-4

TBA

Brian Meehan 9%

86OR

9-10

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Sweet Reward

Age 9 · 10-1

211908

TBA

Jonathan Portman 13%

86OR

10-1

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Tambora

Age 3 · 9-8

5-6641

Pat Dobbs 15%

Richard Hannon 12%

84OR

9-8

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

The Golden Snitch

Age 3 · 8-10

4074

Ben Ffrench Davis 9%

Dominic Ffrench Davis 9%

72OR

8-10

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Tiger

Age 4 · 9-13

642128

Edward Greatrex 14%

Ian Williams 11%

84OR

9-13

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Time Loop

Age 5 · 9-12

2-4844

TBA

William Haggas 23%

83OR

9-12

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Narragansett

Age 5 · 9-0

817/0-

TBA

Neil Mulholland 15%

71OR

9-0

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Accademia

Age 3 · 9-2

4-5115

TBA

Ed Walker 16%

78OR

9-2

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Almekarem

Age 4 · 10-1

-17221

TBA

Sir Mark Prescott Bt 19%

81OR

10-1

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Crimson Road

Age 5 · 8-13

594111

William Carson 10%

John & Rhys Flint 8%

70OR

8-13

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Dark Whisper

Age 3 · 9-9

2310

TBA

David Menuisier 12%

85OR

9-9

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Double Red

Age 5 · 9-2

844258

David Probert 14%

Henry Candy 12%

73OR

9-2

★☆☆☆☆

—

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Due To Henry

Age 5 · 9-5

0-2535

TBA

Eve Johnson Houghton 13%

76OR

9-5

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Edwin Hubble

Age 3 · 9-4

-72513

TBA

Brian Meehan 9%

80OR

9-4

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Empirical

Age 3 · 9-6

-83112

Kieran Shoemark 14%

Ed Walker 16%

82OR

9-6

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Gemmari

Age 4 · 9-2

5-1750

Sean Levey 13%

Richard Hannon 12%

73OR

9-2

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Interstate

Age 3 · 9-7

02-221

William Buick 25%

John & Thady Gosden 24%

83OR

9-7

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Kalokalo

Age 3 · 9-2

312130

Jason Watson 13%

Charles Hills 15%

78OR

9-2

★★☆☆☆

—

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Your pick —

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mohaaraj

Speculative

Mohaaraj owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A Richard Hughes Finley Marsh

63% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Tiger

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · Ian Williams

✓ Value Signal

Tiger

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · Ian Williams

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →

Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Low conviction

41 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative

49 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

40 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal

65 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋6.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal

78 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋7.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction

40 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 0. Mohaaraj

51.0 N/A

2 0. Tiger

50.5 N/A

3 0. River Card

48.8 N/A

4 0. Interstate

48.6 N/A

5 0. Edwin Hubble

48.0 N/A

YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view

Interstate

Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →

The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Interstate

Confidence: Speculative

Interstate (SR:73, Wgt:9-7) is co-top on SR alongside Mohaaraj and Empirical, but brings the strongest combination of supporting signals: Gosden/Buick is the most powerful trainer-jockey pairing in the field (24%/25% strike rates), the form string 02-221 shows a recent win and consistent placing, DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 1m2f, and ClassMv:↓1 means this race is easier than the horse's last outing. The MarkMv:= flag indicates no punitive mark rise. Buick's 25% strike rate is far above any other jockey in the field and Gosden at 24% is the standout yard — this combination routinely delivers in handicaps of this class. Each-way alternative: Empirical. Main danger: Empirical — Empirical (SR:73, Ed Walker 16%, Kieran Shoemark 14%) shares the joint-top SR, has GoingFit:+ confirmed for today's good ground, the form string -83112 shows two consecutive wins before a placed effort, and is the yard's #1 runner ahead of Accademia — a live each-way and winning threat at the same price band.

Case against 4 clamped

Form string 02-221 includes a '0' (last-place finish) and a season break, suggesting fragility under pressure; the recent wins may have come in weaker company than this 30-runner handicap.
Mohaaraj (SR:73, MarkMv:+6) and Empirical (SR:73, MarkMv:+6) share the top SR but carry less weight (9-10 and 9-6 vs 9-7) having demonstrated upward form momentum, whereas Interstate's mark is unchan…
In a field of 30 runners, Interstate at 9-7 is mid-to-high in the weights for a 3yo; several unexposed 3yos (e.g. Empirical -83112, Accademia 4-5115) could be ahead of the assessor on a steeply progr…
No market price is listed (Odds blank), making it impossible to assess whether Gosden/Buick's perceived edge is already fully priced in or if the horse is trading at an unattractive short price for a…

Shortlist Interstate, Empirical, Mohaaraj, Dark Whisper

Each-way: Empirical Danger: Empirical

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f0y Distance to cover

Good Expected going

30 Confirmed runners

Newbury Track and setting

Class 4 Race grade

Last Friday Fitzdares Handicap Stakes (Div I) (gbbplus Race)

Ayr

Downpatrick

Newbury

Newton Abbot

Wolverhampton (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

Balanced lens

Mohaaraj

Tiger

Tiger

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

See your angle before you make your move

Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Class 4