Downpatrick 16:28 RESULTED
18 Sep 2026

Last Friday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase · 2m1f165y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sea Of Doubt (IRE) Conor Stone-Walsh · Ian Patrick Donoghue
    9/2
  2. 11/4F
  3. 20/1
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Ayr

13:20–17:20 · 8 races

Downpatrick

13:37–17:37 · 8 races

Newbury

13:47–17:50 · 9 races

Newton Abbot

14:02–17:30 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:02–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:25–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Doctor Confusion silks
Doctor Confusion
Age 5 · 11-12
/6P-84
77
91
5
11-12
7/1 6/1 7/1
Yet to win in his last four starts, with a pulled up among the recent blemishes, Doctor Confusion at least has going experience to call on; the 166 lb burden looks a stiff ask for a runner ranked eighth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kalsman silks
Kalsman
Age 8 · 11-12
-90332
100
98
101
8
11-12
3/1 9/4 3/1
Kalsman arrives in fine fettle after a second last time out, and a third two starts back, showing consistent placing form in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 101 puts him right in contention, though he remains yet to win and that elusive breakthrough is the key risk.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
King Gris silks
King Gris
Age 6 · 11-12
115-57
68
69
87
6
11-12
10/1 7/1 10/1
King Gris has back-to-back wins in his recent form, but five consecutive finishes since then include back-to-back fifths and a seventh last time out, and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures he faces a stiff ask at 166 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Pralognan silks
Pralognan
Age 7 · 11-12
/135-4
98
91
98
7
11-12
15/2 15/2 7/1
Pralognan showed when winning four starts back, but his last two runs have brought a fifth and then a fourth, suggesting he is finding life tough at present; experience over today's trip and going helps, though 166 lb is a stern test.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Quirt Evans silks
Quirt Evans
Age 11 · 11-12
00090/
95
85
117
11
11-12
20/1 11/1 20/1
Winless in recent starts and absent for nearly three years, Quirt Evans returns to a stiff task, though he has experience on today's going and our rating of 117 puts him clear of his rivals at the head of affairs.
AI verdict

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Cherry Red silks
Cherry Red
Age 8 · 11-5
U-P107
74
101
8
11-5
33/1 20/1 28/1
Freshly campaigned on just a seven-day turnaround, Cherry Red arrives with experience of today's trip and going and a rating of 101 that marks her out as a genuine threat; a winner three starts back, she has the form to trouble the best here, though consistency remains the concern given her record in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Feet On The Ground silks
Feet On The Ground
Age 8 · 11-5
4P-367
86
79
89
8
11-5
14/1 8/1 11/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, Feet On The Ground faces a stiff task here; the return after 73 days and a hefty 159 lb burden do little to help her cause, though she has experience of today's going and did finish third three starts back.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Fizzle Rock silks
Fizzle Rock
Age 9 · 11-5
3344/U
71
104
9
11-5
40/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in her last five starts but laced with placed efforts and rated a solid 104 to rank second in this field, Fizzle Rock has the distance-and-going experience and fitness — back after just 14 days — to pose a serious threat, though that recent unseating is the one nagging concern.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Sea Of Doubt silks
Sea Of Doubt
Age 6 · 11-5
232U64
93
94
100
6
11-5
9/2 5/1 7/2
Sea Of Doubt arrives here just 15 days after her last outing, yet to win in her last six starts, though a second four starts back and a third five starts back hint at ability; carrying 159 lb on today's trip and going she has encountered before, she has the profile of a mare who can threaten without quite delivering.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Thirsty Work silks
Thirsty Work
Age 5 · 11-5
000-02
70
84
5
11-5
16/1 12/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Thirsty Work is hard to fancy carrying 159 lb on her return after 56 days off, though she has run over today's distance and going before and that second last time out shows she can threaten the frame.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Whispering Willow silks
Whispering Willow
Age 5 · 11-5
133602
97
99
96
5
11-5
7/2 10/3 7/2
Ran second last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions in her favour, but she carries 159 lb and her trainer has yet to strike in 25 runners over the last 14 days, which are real drags on confidence.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Pillartou silks
Pillartou
Age 4 · 11-2
P-0085
57
82
4
11-2
33/1 28/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a pulled up among recent efforts, Pillartou is hard to recommend from a rating of 82 ranked last of twelve — though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a manageable 23-day break.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Doctor Confusion 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 7/1 open 8.50 8/1 Coral
2 Kalsman 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Bet365
3 King Gris 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 Coral
4 Pralognan 15/2 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Quirt Evans 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
6 Cherry Red 33/1 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
7 Feet On The Ground 14/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Fizzle Rock 40/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Sea Of Doubt 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
10 Thirsty Work 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
11 Whispering Willow 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 7/2 Bet365
12 Pillartou 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kalsman

Live signal

Kalsman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Liam Lennon Kieren Buckley
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Whispering Willow

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Gavin Cromwell
✓ Value Signal

Cherry Red

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · D M Christie
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Kalsman
60.5 3/1
2 11. Whispering Willow
59.7 7/2
3 9. Sea Of Doubt
57.5 9/2
4 4. Pralognan
56.1 15/2
5 1. Doctor Confusion
49.1 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Whispering Willow
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 8 · 11-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 5 · 11-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 11-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 11-12
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 11-12
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 11-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 11-5
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 11 · 11-12
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Whispering Willow
Confidence: Medium

Whispering Willow tops the composite score at SR 99 trading at 7/2. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.

Shortlist Whispering Willow, Sea Of Doubt, Pralognan, Kalsman, Doctor Confusion
Each-way: Sea Of Doubt Danger: Pralognan

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f165y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting