Dave Hill, Mental Health Ambassador Handicap Stakes · 1m4f51y
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Luan | 3/1 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Belle Amie | 6/4 open 2.10 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 6/5 open 2.63 | 13/8 | 15/8 Paddy Power |
| 3 Tenadaay | 11/4 open 7.50 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 William Hill |
| 4 Six Blue | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Trojan Truth | 9/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 William Hill |
| 6 Wonderful Wendy | 8/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 10/1 William Hill |
| 7 Nora Barnacle | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tenadaay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Belle Amie (SR:71, 6/4) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and backs it up with the strongest multi-signal case available. Her form of 141431 shows consistent competitiveness at this class level, with the rightmost digit — a win last time out — confirming she arrives in peak condition. Crucially, she holds a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ double on today's 1m4f51y good-ground conditions at Wolverhampton, where she also has a Course:W1P1 record, making her a genuine specialist for this specific test. Trainer David Simcock (14% strike rate, 959 runners) and jockey Callum Shepherd (16%, 1631 runners) represent a competent, experienced pairing, and there are no negative headgear or market drift signals to undermine the case. Each-way alternative: Luan. Main danger: Tenadaay — Tenadaay (SR:65, 4/1) has steamed in 13% in the market since opening, holds Course:W1P1 form at Wolverhampton, and at 1lb lower weight than the top two is well-placed if the market move reflects stable confidence.